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Jan 31st, 2025, 12:33 PM
#11
Re: Post election prediction
 Originally Posted by Niya
This is exactly what you guys are doing. You're subject to the same confirmation bias that you accuse me of being subjected to.
We certainly COULD be, if we only look at sources that confirm what we believe to be true. That's why I went with an aggregator. There are a variety of news aggregators as well as poll aggregators. Without something like that, there is a much larger risk of confirmation bias.
That was also why I tried to find evidence (actual papers and studies) to support Sappy's positions around COVID back in that thread. Sometimes I even succeeded, though it was always a mixed result. I don't agree with him about either COVID or vaccines, but I also know that my views are my own, and not necessarily right. Heck, I even paid several visits to Moti's forum on the off hand chance that he wasn't just crazy....but, well I suppose checking your data isn't a waste of time.
You always need to check. You can't always, since there is never enough time, and therefore you will always have positions that you think are right, but which are not. Most of the time, you can ignore this and just live your life, but excluding data just because you don't agree with it is always going to be problematic.
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