ChatGPT

[Niya]

Will be interesting to see how quickly this grows as a professional programming tool. I don't think programmers will be obsolete by next year but it should make young programmers nervious about the future. It seems possible that being a programmer may turn into describing an app and let these types of tools write the code. For now, your still going to need programming skills to verify the code and fix any mistakes. Even if stops making mistakes it will take time before we have blind trust.

It is pretty amazing.

Here's the thing though, I've rigorously tested the programming capabilities of 3 different iterations of GPT and each successive iteration massively out-performed the capabilities of the previous iteration. From that I could extrapolate how fast AI is evolving and where it's likely going to be in the next year. It may be true today that you will need to be a programmer to use it effectively as you will have to correct it's mistakes but I doubt that will be the case next year. I would not be surprised next year if it stops making mistakes altogether. Eventually, it will get good enough to where even non-programmers would be able to get solid outputs from it.

I am telling you, AI is evolving rapidly and I do mean rapidly. I have never in my life seen anything like this. AI is making leaps and bounds in timescales that could be measured in months, not years or decades as is typical with technology.

[EDIT]

To add:

That program I made GPT-4 write, out of curiosity I also gave the same prompt to the previous GPT-3.5 iteration just to see how it would perform. It made a tonne of mistakes and did things I explicitly told it not to do. The code was somewhat usable but it was nowhere near what I asked for. GPT-4 only made 3 tiny errors and got me 99% of the way there. The difference between successive iterations of this AI is huge.