There is pressure to re-open the economy. Everybody talks about clamping down again if there is a spike, but that's going to be VERY hard for politicians to do. That means that a rise will be wished away, and a clamp down will only happen when a spike has become so pronounced that a catastrophe is already well underway.

We need FAR more testing over here. We need far more contact tracing, but since we're starting from near zero, the percentage increase will be astronomical. We don't have either of those, and cases aren't dropping in many areas, but we're still going ahead with opening. It may work out.