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Jun 25th, 2009, 11:37 AM
#4
Hyperactive Member
Re: Probability question
Okay this is a bit tricky for me. Jemidiah is definitely one guy who knowss how to do this. Hopefully he'll chime in, but here's my attempt:
okay so the way I see it is first we need to choose rank, then suit then the number of ways to get dealt the 3 of a kind and then finally the rest of the hand.
There are 5 ranks, 4 suits, and 4 of each suit per ranks so:
number of combinations of getting AT LEAST 3 (you may get another triple or more of another rank) of each either A/K/Q/J/10 is:
first triple: (5,1) (4,1) (4,3)
second triple given first: (1) (3,1) (4,3)
third triple given others: (1) (2,1) (4,3)
4th triple given others: (1) (1,1) (4,3)
There are a total of 80 cards in the deck but we remove the selected rank leaving 80 - 16 = 64.
Number of ways to deal 8 cards from 64: (64, 8)
this gives a total of: 4^4 * 5! * (64,8) = 135971800104960
total number of hands: (80, 20) = 3535316142212174320
probability = 3.846e-5
Does that jive with your experimental results? Do you allow the possibility of other triples in the hand?
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