Post election prediction

[Niya]

That's because the treaty isn't about the nuclear states wanting to keep the other states down to maintain their advantage. It's that the whole world, including non nuclear states, recognise that any more nuclear states is a bad thing for all of us.

I'm sorry but I think this is not only wrong, it is dangerously naive. There is no way on God's green Earth that this isn't about maintaining an advantage. There is zero doubt in my mind that every state with the resources would develop nuclear weapons if it wouldn't run afoul of the US's ambition to maintain its primacy.

The possession of nuclear weapons isn't about how much damage you can do with them, it's about how much leverage you have in international negotiations. It's easy to tell a bully to piss off when you have nukes.