Post Race!

[wes4dbt]

Don't play dumb. You know La. has been hoarding rain for years.

[dday9]

[Shaggy Hiker]

Yeah, you folks have certainly been hoarding the rain, of late. Not today, though, nor this weekend. It was snowing on my walk home from the gym. The grounds too warm for it to stick, but it's covering the cars.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Down in the valley, we won't get much. A fair amount of moisture, but we only average between 7 and 12 inches a year (depending on exactly where in the valley you measure...I live at the 7" end of that, while the 12" folks are those who live where the air starts to be forced upwards by the Boise mountains). Up in the mountains will be a different story. Some places are expected to get up to two feet our of this storm, and there are others already lining up.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Now, the big question is: Will it keep going, or will we dry right back out again?

Last year we did REALLY well up until new years, then got nothing at all for about three months.

[dday9]

Don't get me wrong, we have rain, but this year has been dryer than most.

Last year it rained almost every day from February to October; New Orleans hit their annual average rainfall in July.

This year we had weeks where it'd rain every day, but then we'd have weeks where it wouldn't rain at all.

It's been tough on my plants. I planted an Ein Shemer apple tree this Spring and thought for sure it was a goner, but it's picked back up since mid-September.

[dday9]

In fact, there's a little bud sprouting right now and I think that I saw another one coming.

[FunkyDexter]

If you guys want rain, we've got plenty.

[Shaggy Hiker]

We'd take all we could get, and in darn near any form. Rain, snow, blocks of ice, we'd take it all.

The Boise desert area is not in as desperate a drought as the US Southwest, but we need rain. We'd prefer snow in the mountains, but will settle for pretty nearly anything.

[Shaggy Hiker]

It is currently snowing quite nicely. It should turn to rain in the valleys in the next hour or two. After all, it's already above freezing, and should reach the mid-40s. That's fine. It's the snow in the mountains that matters.

[Shaggy Hiker]

I'm not saying that we planned well for this, but the valley has a pretty good reservoir system. Whether that was more about flood control or irrigation, I can't say, but the result is that, so long as we fill the reservoirs with the snowmelt in the spring, we'll make it through the fact that we likely won't see a cloud from June through September.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Well, clouds of smoke...those we do get to see, pretty much every year. Sometimes we get to see the fire that is causing the smoke, as well.

[dilettante]

Lots of vloggers right now saying "I'm not giving financial advice" and then immediately proceed to do so. You don't have to wait long for them to expose their own base innumeracy, typically they don't understand interest rate percentages.

Nothing new aside from the increasing numbers of them.

[Shaggy Hiker]

I think the "I'm not giving financial advice" is a legal fig leaf. There are laws surrounding giving financial advice, so I think you have to preface financial advice with a disclaimer or face legal jeopardy.

I'm not entirely certain that is the case, but I've heard that disclaimer from non-vlog types of financial information. They make it sound like legalese, as if a lawyer told them what they had to say. I think I've also heard some say that they were required to mention that.

It makes sense. All the rules around insider trading, fiduciary responsibility, and so on. Fish are much easier. I can make a forecast for fish returns, and nobody will sue me over them.

[Shaggy Hiker]

It would be entertaining if somebody DID sue over fish forecasts. I could see it happening, as it does impact the financial livelihoods of some people, but it would get into some pretty interesting legal grounds.

[wes4dbt]

That sounds fishy to me. They'd just be trolling for some easy clams. You should ignore them and tuna them out.

[dilettante]

I thought it was weird to hear two such people in two days make basically the same claim: 10% interest on $50,000 in 1982 was a lower/easier rate than 5% interest on $250,000 in 2022. The intended implication being to that borrowers right now have it harder than those 40 years ago... who more often faced as much as 15% back then.

I suppose when you are trying to set hair on fire to somehow help you shill for "gold on paper" investing opportunities anything goes though.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Well, they might be right. After all, you can't just look at the interest rate, but also the cumulative inflation between now and then. People were making a lot less, so in purchasing power, perhaps they have a point.

Unless they explicitly stated that, though, then they didn't mean that or are pretty bad at explaining themselves. I don't think 50K in the 80s was comparable to 250K today.

[dday9]

Oh man, that LSU game was phenomenal. This was the first time I stormed the field. I was at the ‘97 Florida game and my parents stormed the field, but I was 6 and my brother was 4 so we stayed in the stands.

[wes4dbt]

Congrats to LSU. Always happy to se Alabama loose.

[dday9]

The atmosphere reminded me of when I was a boy. My first LSU game was September of ‘91 (I was born in August of that year) and grew up on bad LSU teams in the 90s, but the crowd was always in it. Then during the Les Miles years, the crowd got a bit tame. I don’t know why, but it did.

This game reminds me of LSU vs Ole Miss in the 90s when neither team had a serious chance of winning anything big on the season, but it was just pure rivalry. The crowd literally did not stop going crazy when LSU was on defense. This was a night that I will always remember.

[Shaggy Hiker]

If you storm the field down there, it's a real storm.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Up here, it's never more than a brief shower.

[homer13j]

Congrats to LSU. Always happy to se Alabama loose.

*lose

[homer13j]

City in the clouds...

[Shaggy Hiker]

That's a good picture.

A couple years back, I was heading up skiing on an overcast day (actually, one day out of an overcast couple of weeks), when I broke out of the clouds into bright sunshine. There were cars lined up on either side of the road with people just looking at, and photographing, the tops of the clouds. There was such an abrupt transition with really dense clouds that if felt like you could stand with your head above the clouds and not be able to see your feet.

The clouds looked like a sea with waves frozen in place...and a bit rounded, to be fair. It was really nice...until you realized that it was just the inversion. The air below those clouds had been stuck in the valley for weeks, and was becoming chunky style with all the particulates equally trapped in the valley. Those clouds were mostly, but not exclusively, moisture.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Also, it was down in the teens below the clouds, and 40s up on the ski area, 4000 feet higher. So, it was winter in the valley, and the slopes were melting off. Kind of frustrating, really.

[dday9]

Apparently we had an "Earthquake Game" part 2: https://twitter.com/LSU/status/1589637209187287046

[Shaggy Hiker]

We only have the old fashioned kind.

[dday9]

When tectonic plates move or when Lizzo jumps on a trampoline? -bazing-

[wes4dbt]

Chris Evans was voted most sexiest man alive. Damn I really thought I had a chance this year.

Just another example of Hollywood politics!!!

[Shaggy Hiker]

As I headed to the gym, this morning, I noticed that the lunar eclipse was still in progress. Just a sliver of the moon was not eclipsed. Kind of cool looking.

[wes4dbt]

Sh,

I'm sending a bunch of rain and snow your way. We've had a nice moist start to the season. Let's hope this isn't the last of it.

[Shaggy Hiker]

We'll be getting it tonight. So far, it's been a good start to the fall, but it has to continue.

[wes4dbt]

Maybe the best way to get elected is don't say anything. A guy that is dead got elected. lol

https://currently.att.yahoo.com/att/...175218955.html

[Shaggy Hiker]

I'm sure he's busy decomposing his acceptance speech.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Voters liked his grave demeanor.

[Shaggy Hiker]

He wouldn't be much good at rollcall votes, though, which probably cast a pall over the celebrations.

[Shaggy Hiker]

Still, it makes you wonder how bad the other guy was.

[Shaggy Hiker]

I guess that whoever it was didn't do so well in the face of stiff competition.